{"id":734,"date":"2025-04-14T23:05:04","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T15:05:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.coscoxh.com\/?p=734"},"modified":"2025-04-14T23:05:04","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T15:05:04","slug":"%e6%a1%a5%e6%b0%b4%e5%9f%ba%e9%87%91%e5%88%9b%e5%a7%8b%e4%ba%ba%e8%be%be%e5%88%a9%e6%ac%a7%ef%bc%9a%e5%a6%82%e6%9e%9c%e5%a4%84%e7%90%86%e4%b8%8d%e5%bd%93%ef%bc%8c%e8%bf%98%e6%9c%89%e6%af%94%e7%be%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.coscoxh.com\/?p=734","title":{"rendered":"\u6865\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u5904\u7406\u4e0d\u5f53\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u9000\u66f4\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n \u3010\u6587\/\u89c2\u5bdf\u8005\u7f51 \u5f20\u83c1\u5a1f\u3011\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5168\u56fd\u5e7f\u64ad\u516c\u53f8\uff08NBC\uff09\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u6865\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Bridgewater Associates\uff09\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\uff08Raymond Thomas Dalio\uff0913\u65e5\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u5c31\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u503a\u52a1\u589e\u52a0\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u53d1\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\n \u4ed6\u5728NBC\u7684\u300a\u4f1a\u89c1\u65b0\u95fb\u754c\u300b\uff08Meet the Press\uff09\u8282\u76ee\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0d\u80fd\u59a5\u5584\u5904\u7406\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u4ed6\u62c5\u5fc3\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9677\u5165\u6bd4\u8870\u9000\u201c\u66f4\u7cdf\u201d\u7684\u5883\u5730\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b3\u7b56\u5173\u53e3\uff0c\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5904\u7406\u4e0d\u5f53\uff0c\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u6bd4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u201d\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u5728\u56de\u7b54\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u97e6\u5c14\u514b\uff08Kristen Welker\uff09\u5173\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u800c\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u65f6\u5982\u662f\u8bf4\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n

\n \u4ed6\u63a5\u7740\u8865\u5145\u9053\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u6307GDP\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u4e2a\u5b63\u5ea6\u5448\u73b0\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u662f\u5426\u8f7b\u5fae\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u201d\u6211\u4eec\u65f6\u5e38\u4f1a\u9047\u5230\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\uff08\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\uff09\u6211\u4eec\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u66f4\u52a0\u6df1\u8fdc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u8d27\u5e01\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u6539\u53d8\u8d27\u5e01\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u82b1\u8fd9\u4e48\u591a\u94b1\u3002\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n \u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u540c\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u79e9\u5e8f\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u6df1\u523b\u53d8\u5316\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u548c20\u4e16\u7eaa30\u5e74\u4ee3\u975e\u5e38\u7c7b\u4f3c\u3002\u6211\u7814\u7a76\u8fc7\u5386\u53f2\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u518d\u91cd\u6f14\u3002\u201d\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u5c06\u5173\u7a0e\u3001\u503a\u52a1\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u201c\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6311\u6218\u73b0\u6709\u9738\u6743\u201d\u7b49\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u3001\u975e\u5e38\u5177\u6709\u7834\u574f\u6027\u201d\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5e76\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u8fdc\u6bd4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u5f97\u4ee5\u59a5\u5584\u5904\u7406\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8fd8\u79f0\uff0c\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u91c7\u53d6\u7834\u574f\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u5904\u7406\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u201c\u5c31\u50cf\u5f80\u673a\u5668\u91cc\u6254\u77f3\u5934\u4e00\u6837\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8fd0\u884c\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u4ee3\u4ef7\u5de8\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\n \u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u518d\u6b21\u5bf9\u503a\u52a1\u89c4\u6a21\u5931\u63a7\u3001\u501f\u8d37\u589e\u901f\u8fc7\u5feb\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4f4e\u8ff7\u5bfc\u81f4\u5fc5\u8981\u7269\u54c1\u4f9d\u8d56\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u53d1\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u201c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u201d\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\n \u4ed6\u547c\u5401\u56fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u624b\u5e72\u9884\uff0c\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u9884\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u51cf\u5c11\u5230\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u76843%\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\uff08\u7acb\u6cd5\u8005\uff09\u4e0d\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u5176\u4ed6\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u503a\u52a1\u4f9b\u9700\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u679c\u5c06\u6bd4\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002\u201d\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u8bf4\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\u5f53\u88ab\u95ee\u53ca\u4ed6\u9884\u60f3\u4e2d\u7f8e\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u201c\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u60c5\u5f62\u201d\u65f6\uff0c\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u79f0\uff0c\u4ed6\u62c5\u5fc3\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4f1a\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u7206\u53d1\u201c\u8fdd\u80cc\u5e38\u89c4\u6c11\u4e3b\u201d\u539f\u5219\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u3001\u201c\u51fa\u73b0\u53ef\u80fd\u4e25\u91cd\u6270\u4e71\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u51b2\u7a81\u751a\u81f3\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u201d\u7b49\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n

\n \u53e6\u636e\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u536b\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u5728\u91c7\u8bbf\u4e2d\u88ab\u95ee\u53ca\u4ed6\u662f\u5426\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u201c\u590d\u6742\u6311\u6218\u201d\uff0c\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u786e\u5b9e\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u5efa\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5e76\u6269\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u4f46\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u505a\u5230\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u201c\u662f\u5426\u4ee5\u4e00\u79cd\u52a1\u5b9e\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b8c\u6210\u5b83\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u4ee5\u4e00\u79cd\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b8c\u6210\u5b83\u201d\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u662f\u4ee5\u201c\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u8c08\u5224\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u91c7\u53d6\u201c\u6df7\u4e71\u548c\u7834\u574f\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u2026\u2026\u8fd9\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5e76\u6539\u53d8\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u9762\u8c8c\u3002\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n \n <\/p>\n

\n \u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u63a5\u53d7NBC\u91c7\u8bbf NBC<\/span>\n <\/p>\n

\n \u73b0\u5e7475\u5c81\u7684\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u4ee5\u5c06\u5386\u53f2\u6559\u8bad\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u51b3\u7b56\u800c\u95fb\u540d\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u6839\u636e\u8fc7\u5f80\u5371\u673a\u9884\u6d4b\u4e862008\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883\u65f6\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e30\u539a\u5229\u6da6\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u4e0a\u5468\uff084\u67087\u65e5\uff09\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e9\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\u6682\u7f13\u5f81\u6536\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u201c\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e\u201d\u524d\u53d1\u8868\u957f\u6587\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e0d\u8981\u8fc7\u4e8e\u72ed\u9698\u5730\u53ea\u5173\u6ce8\u5173\u7a0e\u3002<\/p>\n

\n \u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5df2\u6df1\u9677\u201c\u4e3e\u503a\u7ef4\u6301\u8d85\u989d\u652f\u51fa\u201d\u7684\u6076\u6027\u5faa\u73af\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u56fd\u9645\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u79e9\u5e8f\u6b63\u5728\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u7f8e\u56fd\u53f7\u4ee4\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u9075\u4ece\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u5408\u4f5c\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u53d7\u5230\u5355\u8fb9\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8f6c\u53d8\u5c31\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u73b0\u5728\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u3001\u79d1\u6280\u6218\u751a\u81f3\u5c40\u90e8\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\n \u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u8bf4\uff0c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u201c\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e\u201d\u53ea\u662f\u201c\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u79e9\u5e8f\u5d29\u6e83\u201d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4fa7\u9762\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5d29\u6e83\u201c\u4e00\u751f\u53ea\u53d1\u751f\u4e00\u6b21\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u4e0d\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u751f\u8fc7\u8bb8\u591a\u6b21\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5982\u679c\u5ffd\u89c6\u6839\u672c\u6027\u7ed3\u6784\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u66f4\u5927\u51b2\u51fb\u89c6\u800c\u4e0d\u89c1\u3002\n <\/p>\n

\n 9\u65e5\uff0c\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u8fd8\u5728\u793e\u4ea4\u5e73\u53f0X\u4e0a\u53d1\u6587\u547c\u5401\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c31\u5173\u7a0e\u95ee\u9898\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u3002\n <\/p>\n

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\n \u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u4ed6\u201c\u5e0c\u671b\u5e76\u671f\u5f85\u201d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e5f\u80fd\u201c\u91c7\u53d6\u540c\u6837\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u201d\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u901a\u8fc7\u8c08\u5224\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u4efd\u201c\u53cc\u8d62\u201d\u7684\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u89e3\u51b3\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u56fd\u5728\u503a\u52a1\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u4e89\u7aef\u3002\n <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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